Padres vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 12 (2024)

Data Skrive

Andrew McCutchen and the Pittsburgh Pirates take on Jackson Merrill and the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park on Monday at 9:40 PM ET. The Padres are -200 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Pirates (+167). San Diego is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +105 odds). The contest's over/under has been listed at 8.5 runs.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Padres vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, August 12, 2024 at 9:40 PM ET
• Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
• How to Watch on TV: SDPA

Padres vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Padres 5, Pirates 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Padres 56%, Pirates 44%

Padres vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• This season, the Padres have won 41 out of the 71 games, or 57.7%, in which they've been favored.
• This season San Diego has won four of its eight games when favored by at least -200 on the moneyline.
• The Padres have a 66.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Pirates have been victorious in 31, or 44.3%, of the 70 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Pittsburgh has been a moneyline underdog of -200 or longer six times, losing every contest.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 37.5% chance of walking away with the win.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres were favored on the moneyline for each of their last 10 games, and they went 8-2 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Padres and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Padres' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Jurickson Profar is the Padres best power option, connecting on 19 long balls this season in addition to delivering 72 RBI, both team highs.
• Among all MLB hitters, Profar is 14th in batting average, third in on-base percentage, and 21st in slugging.
• Merrill has 19 doubles, four triples, 17 home runs and 21 walks while hitting .291.
• Merrill is 57th in home runs in baseball, and 35th in RBI.
• Luis Arraez paces the Padres with a team-best batting average of .306.
• Arraez has at least one base hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .320 with two doubles and four RBI.
• Manny Machado is hitting .269 with 22 doubles, 18 home runs and 31 walks.

Padres Team Props

Learn more about this Padres vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• The Pirates have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and lost each of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents are 7-3-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• Over their last 10 games, the Pirates are 6-4-0 against the spread.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Bryan Reynolds leads the lineup with a batting average of .287, while leading the Pirates in home runs, with 19 and runs batted in with 69.
• Among all batters in MLB, Reynolds ranks 36th in home runs and 24th in RBI.
• Reynolds has collected a hit in five games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .304 with a walk and three RBI.
• Oneil Cruz has 24 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 31 walks while batting .258.
• Cruz ranks 46th overall in home runs and 47th in RBI this season.
• McCutchen is hitting .234 with 14 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 50 walks.
• Bryan De La Cruz is batting .236 with 19 doubles, 18 home runs and 26 walks.

Pirates Team Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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